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Business cycles

It is a wellknown

fact that modern economies are characterized

by business cycles. Does this mean that it is very easy for

firms to decide whether to expand or not, since entrepreneurs

can easily forecast future economic growth? Briefly

explain the reasons for your answer.

Q73: Go to the

Web site of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED)

(research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/).

a. Find the values for the most recent quarter for the

following three variables: (1) Nominal Gross Domestic

Product (GDP), (2) Real Gross Domestic Product

(GDPC1), and (3) Real Potential Gross Domestic Product

(GDPPOT).

b. Using the data from part (a), calculate the GDP Price

Deflator for the most recent quarter.

c. Calculate for this quarter the percentage difference between

real GDP and potential GDP.

d. Using Figure 21.2 on page 762, describe the relationship

between real GDP and potential GDP over the

past 10 years.

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